0x9168b6a66d92865ff147512662b74b330c60b224
0x9168b6a66d92865ff147512662b74b330c60b224
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$51.34
Total PnL
$-50.87
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.85
$-0.19
- NO
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
9 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.87
$0.05
- NO
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
9 shares @ 98.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.83
$-0.15
- YES
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
15 shares @ 70.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$8.40
$-2.39
- NO
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
13 shares @ 69.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.48
$-1.92
- NO
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
8 shares @ 67.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.51
$-1.09
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
5 shares @ 73.9¢·now 63.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.39
$-0.55
- OVER
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5
45 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.39
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.75
- UNDER
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
13 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 3.5$1.47Jul 11, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$6.68Jul 10, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$3.26Jul 7, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.40Jul 7, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5$15.69Jul 5, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$7.64Jul 5, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-04?$6.51Jul 4, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$0.84Jul 4, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$2.15Jul 4, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$8.98Jul 3, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$4.92Jul 3, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.86Jul 3, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5$6.60Jul 2, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5$10.90Jul 2, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5$0.01Jul 1, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5$11.36Jul 1, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5$10.41Jul 1, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$7.78Jul 1, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$8.28Jul 1, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-01?$7.04Jul 1, 18:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 04:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.