Loving-Deployment
0x9181c4f84e78f283b7cd7ff71074c47ca62530a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$9.92
Total PnL
$-334.85
Realised
$17.89
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$6.25
$4.25
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will BTS perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
147 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
129 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
119 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-22.53
- NO
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Jul 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$2.10Jul 13, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$4.13Jul 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.06Jul 13, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$5.00Jul 13, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.06Jul 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$6.78Jul 13, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$22.56Jul 13, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$17.19Jul 11, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$0.00Jul 11, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$1.04Jul 11, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.04Jul 11, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.06Jul 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?$10.42Jul 11, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$2.07Jul 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$2.07Jul 11, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Jul 11, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.06Jul 11, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.05Jul 11, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$1.03Jul 11, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.