0x918b73667daafb111e20350595ba54d6e5d9da5d
0x918b73667daafb111e20350595ba54d6e5d9da5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-941.77
Realised
$-10.91
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 1?
263 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on February 18?
257 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-41.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 4?
249 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 18?
214 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-28.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 27?
199 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-27.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 17?
196 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-43.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 26?
161 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 1?
134 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 18?
132 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-38.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on February 16?
125 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?$1.83May 30, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Half-Life game by June 30?$1.00May 30, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Half-Life game by June 30?$3.06May 30, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 30?$4.89May 29, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 30?$4.96May 29, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 28?$13.14May 29, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 28?$3.02May 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 27?$0.48May 27, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 28?$1.76May 27, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 27?$0.10May 27, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 27?$1.05May 27, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 27?$0.20May 27, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 27?$5.14May 26, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?$4.79May 26, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 27?$5.03May 26, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?$2.73May 26, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?$2.09May 26, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 27?$4.96May 26, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 18?$13.40May 26, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 18?$13.49May 26, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 12:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.