New Half-Life game by June 30?
Probability
9¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1578.8h
- 05:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1579h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).