Inferior-Fry
0x91aab8d0ae5c7dde7d9ea7ca49aeb985e09819b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$45.0K
Total PnL
$-16.2K
Realised
$2.5K
Win rate
52%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
45000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.5K
$17.0K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
45000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.5K
$-17.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2300 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-147.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2142 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
2000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
1850 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-99.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
1850 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-63.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
1650 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-604.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
1600 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-676.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$300.00Jul 5, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$75.84Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$3.16Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.84Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$2.46Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.70Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.30Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.35Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.35Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$3.95Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$19.75Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$10.27Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$3.95Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$12.48Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$12.80Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$3.95Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$11.85Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$10.21Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$48.54Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$23.00Jul 5, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$22.6K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 29, 07:10 UTC → Jun 30, 14:57 UTC
- BUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$7.0K@100¢May 29, 07:22 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
52% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?
$10.0K · 44% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.