Rigid-Mantle
0x91be7e7fc6b754194db8f74333c4f64f02082641
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$349.44
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-21.55
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
259 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$258.87
$0.13
- NO
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?
70 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$70.00
$4.20
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
56 shares @ 16.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.44
$4.48
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
490 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.94
$-148.96
- NO
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.05
- YES
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.28
- NO
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.24
- NO
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.76
$-0.04
- YES
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.23
$-1.88
- YES
Ramp IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 21.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$1.00Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$4.00Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$60.00Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMAbilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans$604.00Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$671.00Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$495.90Apr 12, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$461.70Mar 29, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?$12.00Mar 27, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$30.00Mar 27, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?$418.32Mar 25, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?$443.52Mar 24, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Oman again in March?$160.27Mar 24, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$283.57Mar 24, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman again in March?$276.21Mar 23, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$239.02Mar 23, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$59.20Mar 22, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$396.80Mar 22, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Africa win on 2026-03-31?$60.30Mar 22, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-03-31?$205.02Mar 20, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$456.00Mar 20, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $194.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".