Well-Informed-Harm
0x91e0ed1b9710c62ce1b79e639afc6a26a08fd529
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$54.24
Total PnL
$-26.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- KRAUS
Set 1 Winner: Badosa vs Kraus
34 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$16.92
$0.00
- MUNAR
Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Munar
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$15.00
$0.00
- KAROLINA PLISKOVA
Nottingham Open: Emma Raducanu vs Karolina Pliskova
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$15.00
$0.00
- UGO BLANCHET
Dublin: Mark Lajal vs Ugo Blanchet
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$4.44
$0.00
- UNDER
Raducanu vs. Pliskova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.88
$0.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
27 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
13 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- ALEX PEREIRA
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
11 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Badosa vs Kraus$1.95Jun 20, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Badosa vs Kraus$15.22Jun 20, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$6.09Jun 20, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-06-17?$5.81Jun 17, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$6.07Jun 17, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?$15.00Jun 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDublin: Mark Lajal vs Ugo Blanchet$1.95Jun 16, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDublin: Mark Lajal vs Ugo Blanchet$2.56Jun 16, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMSet 1 Winner: Dart vs Boulter$14.71Jun 16, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$9.00Jun 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$5.56Jun 15, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Dart vs Boulter$15.22Jun 15, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaducanu vs. Pliskova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$2.92Jun 15, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNottingham Open: Emma Raducanu vs Karolina Pliskova$15.22Jun 15, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$6.07Jun 15, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5$15.14Jun 14, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMNottingham Open: Iva Jovic vs Karolina Pliskova$16.96Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5$10.09Jun 14, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNottingham Open: Iva Jovic vs Karolina Pliskova$15.22Jun 14, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $8.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.