Direct-Greatgrandfather
0x91e797377d82a110e41a99235f27d86091917a67
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-58.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
1190 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
1030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will Jonathan Jaffe win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- ORIOLES
Red Sox vs. Orioles
31 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.40
- PIRATES
Pirates vs. Brewers
31 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.66
- GOLDEN KNIGHTS
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
23 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
- PIRATES
Cubs vs. Pirates
12 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.80
- NATIONALS
Nationals vs. Yankees
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- REDS
Braves vs. Reds
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
- YANKEES
Yankees vs. Twins
4 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$289.61Jun 3, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$299.60Jun 3, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$389.49Jun 3, 19:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$300.08Jun 2, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$290.08Jun 2, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$390.09Jun 2, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$978.74Jun 2, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$980.24Jun 1, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$199.74Jun 1, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$199.74Jun 1, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$579.25Jun 1, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$580.14Jun 1, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$200.05Jun 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$200.05Jun 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$399.56Jun 1, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$579.36Jun 1, 12:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$580.03May 31, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $304.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.