Thoughtful-Uniform
0x91f0bdd4dc513f0f32957c30b7df113ce9c4f8d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$509.38
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
1379 shares @ 50.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$365.45
$-324.08
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
157 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$143.93
$3.93
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
2856 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
SBF released from custody in 2025?
2706 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
2326 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Ostium launch a token in 2025?
1173 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
1122 shares @ 89.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
714 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
462 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $390.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.