Fortunate-Pard
0x91fb4866a56d21c34139cf6967a7666f1a385bf2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-49.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 17?
181 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 7?
146 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?
137 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?
127 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 28?
112 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5?
91 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?
88 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
87 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 27?
76 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 22?
70 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on June 4?$100.55Jun 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on June 4?$99.44Jun 3, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 23?$82.66May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 23?$0.02May 22, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 23?$0.14May 22, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 23?$80.19May 22, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$1.74May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 17?$2.13May 16, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 31, 2PM ET$27.70May 14, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?$1.90May 13, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 7?$1.25May 7, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 5?$75.76May 7, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 25?$0.00Apr 25, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28?$0.00Apr 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 15?$2.36Apr 15, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on January 20?$0.00Apr 11, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5?$3.02Apr 5, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 5?$73.26Apr 5, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of March 30 2026?$82.87Apr 5, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of March 30 2026?$0.09Apr 2, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $32.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 18:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.