Extra-Small-Generator
0x923b58535408957eec64bbe99622724bac5faa12
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$38.80
Total PnL
$14.11
Realised
$4.33
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
15 shares @ 65.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.64
$5.01
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.74
$2.30
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.22
$1.20
- NO
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.34
$0.91
- NO
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
4 shares @ 79.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$3.51
$0.71
- YES
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?
1 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.26
$0.62
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
1 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.09
$0.37
- NO
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$1.34Apr 16, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.54Apr 12, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?$0.51Apr 10, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?$1.01Apr 7, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?$3.43Apr 7, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.09Apr 7, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$13.17Apr 6, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?$1.97Apr 6, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$6.58Apr 6, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$4.39Apr 6, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$17.81Apr 6, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?$2.12Mar 25, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$21.90Mar 25, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$10.01Mar 25, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$2.97Mar 25, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$14.24Mar 25, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$3.30Mar 25, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$4.02Mar 24, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$3.46Mar 24, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.13Mar 24, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 01:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.