Frizzy-Feather
0x9259ca6fbc36ba96583fb28ae5847cc1f0998905
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-229.11
Realised
$-102.76
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Solana dip to $80 May 11-17?
236 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 10?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 22?
136 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 29?
127 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
125 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 27?
112 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.38
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 21?
96 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on April 6?
95 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-24.90
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?
82 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.56
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 23?
44 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 29?$2.59Jul 29, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 22?$70.71Jul 22, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 22?$67.88Jul 21, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 5?$82.40Jul 5, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 5?$0.09Jul 5, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 5?$79.10Jul 5, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on June 4?$66.31Jun 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on June 4?$64.12Jun 3, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$71.91May 25, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$70.18May 24, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$74.34May 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$71.44May 18, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 May 11-17?$2.27May 17, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$1.96May 16, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?$69.08May 10, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 10?$1.07May 9, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?$66.66May 9, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 21?$0.00Apr 30, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 19?$1.45Apr 19, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 11?$0.00Apr 19, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $32.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.