Cold-Analogy
0x928482cd30ad32a9a405d0f374e23a5204e4d7d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-98.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
690 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.40
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
162 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-22.51
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
87 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
82 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
43 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$9.00Apr 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.00Apr 13, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$10.00Apr 13, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$23.28Apr 13, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$9.00Apr 13, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$20.00Apr 13, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Apr 13, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.00Apr 13, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 12, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$1.18Apr 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.59Apr 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?$17.00Apr 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?$2.40Apr 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?$2.06Apr 12, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by December 31?$0.00Apr 10, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?$0.00Apr 10, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?$0.00Apr 10, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy in 2025?$0.00Apr 10, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$0.00Apr 10, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$0.00Apr 10, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".