Bruised-Interferometer
0x928fdca1ea9ba9b5898716be16b3bc6d1f882099
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.04
Total PnL
$-7.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$2.58
$-0.37
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.46
$0.86
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10?
43 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
4 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.00Jul 21, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3.01Jul 21, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.07Jul 20, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.45Jul 17, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.14Jul 2, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3.10Jun 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$2.03Jun 8, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?$1.64Jun 3, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.10Jun 2, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00Jun 2, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.82May 20, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$2.03May 14, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$2.04Apr 29, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.15Apr 21, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10?$2.10Apr 10, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.