Zany-Macro
0x929d1f8d645cc5073991c02db595411926fb26f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$22.30
Total PnL
$-336.93
Realised
$-77.18
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
233 shares @ 12.9¢·now 8.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.76
$-11.24
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.10
$-7.90
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
152 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.44
$-3.56
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
1333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
1136 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
708 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.34
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10?
454 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$22.83Apr 14, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?$8.15Apr 14, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?$3.89Apr 14, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$2.78Apr 14, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$6.88Apr 14, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$2.00Apr 14, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.00Apr 14, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$8.91Apr 14, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$20.00Apr 14, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$10.00Apr 10, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$30.00Apr 10, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 2, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$5.00Apr 2, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$5.00Apr 2, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.55Apr 2, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?$3.51Apr 2, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?$7.00Apr 2, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?$6.14Apr 2, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.00Feb 17, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$4.02Feb 17, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".