0x92abf1b105015d097e3b9b269bdd25508bf22ed6
0x92abf1b105015d097e3b9b269bdd25508bf22ed6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$601.28
Total PnL
$-541.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-23?
463 shares @ 86.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$462.90
$62.90
- YES
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-07-23?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$70.42
$20.42
- DETROIT TIGERS
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
79 shares @ 63.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$67.06
$17.06
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
121 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.42
$-3.98
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.41
$-0.69
- YES
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.05
$-49.95
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $120-$122 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $126-$128 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $132-$134 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CA Belgrano win on 2026-07-23?$50.72Jul 23, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-23?$402.73Jul 23, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?$51.35Jul 23, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers$50.92Jul 23, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMTampere: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Otto Virtanen$357.14Jul 23, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?$20.83Jul 23, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?$28.97Jul 23, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampere: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Otto Virtanen$302.40Jul 23, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?$115.94Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nashville SC win on 2026-07-22?$83.33Jul 23, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?$400.00Jul 23, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?$81.24Jul 23, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Sky vs. New York Liberty$67.57Jul 23, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-22?$4.81Jul 23, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-22?$50.77Jul 23, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC win on 2026-07-22?$50.85Jul 23, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-07-22?$51.00Jul 23, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Recife win on 2026-07-22?$51.20Jul 23, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?$205.00Jul 23, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?$100.00Jul 23, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $87.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 23:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.