Sad-Bakeware
0x92b4b6a651951334c73b68806549f43588dd880f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$21.39
Total PnL
$-23.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.90
$0.10
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.45
$1.05
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.66
$-0.60
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
10 shares @ 9.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 14, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 8, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 8, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 7?$6.76May 7, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?$10.03May 7, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 7?$5.09May 7, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$5.35May 7, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.15May 7, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 7, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.75May 7, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.05May 7, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?$10.11May 4, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?$10.01May 4, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$5.30Apr 30, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?$5.17Apr 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$5.02Apr 30, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?$5.01Apr 30, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?$5.95Apr 29, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?$5.00Apr 28, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.