Ultimate-Reaction
0x92c48a25952dbc9ef53683577da5936484328767
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$282.88
Total PnL
$-679.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
130 shares @ 38.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.57
$-6.43
- MAYWEATHER
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
68 shares @ 66.2¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$42.51
$-2.49
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
60 shares @ 42.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$25.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
97 shares @ 31.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$24.19
$-5.81
- MIAMI HERETICS
Call of Duty: Carolina Royal Ravens vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Group B
41 shares @ 63.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$23.73
$-2.27
- YES
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?
24 shares @ 42.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$23.64
$13.64
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
37 shares @ 67.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.34
$-4.66
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
41 shares @ 61.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.26
$-5.74
- YES
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
73 shares @ 34.1¢·now 24.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$17.61
$-7.39
- YES
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?
85 shares @ 23.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$15.80
$-4.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Wildcard Gaming (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs$13.12May 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$13.32May 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.23May 14, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.61May 14, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: Carolina Royal Ravens vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Group B$26.29May 14, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.48May 14, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$25.66May 14, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs DarkZero Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$35.45May 13, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow Six Siege: Virtus.pro vs G2 Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$37.08May 13, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2$20.22May 12, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs DarkZero Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$25.22May 12, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: Virtus.pro vs G2 Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$27.22May 12, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$25.45May 12, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$15.46May 12, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$30.83May 12, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$42.21May 12, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$15.29May 11, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage$25.11May 11, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMSeaHorses Mikawa vs. Ryukyu Golden Kings$5.56May 10, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$192.69May 10, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $19.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".