Relieved-Teller
0x92c61ba92cef3d96c16cfd02a9c9b61c03fa93ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1529 shares @ 84.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$130.16
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
520 shares @ 93.5¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$499.98
$13.78
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
514 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$489.90
$12.07
- YES
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
5701 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2024$0.00
$-800.46
- YES
SBF sentence between 40 and 50 years?
730 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2024$0.00
$-182.50
- YES
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 6?
589 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-15.76
- YES
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 7?
540 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-6.27
- YES
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 5?
489 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.64
- YES
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 80.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$0.00
$-161.81
- YES
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.