Carefree-Library
0x92f0a630a1eac4b7178a0aecebe6e91e0e027fb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$4.81
Total PnL
$-105.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
1187 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on March 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran strike one country in March?
872 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00Jun 15, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 15, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 15, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 15, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 15, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Apr 21, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.09Mar 25, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.82Mar 25, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 15, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$3.00Mar 12, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.99Mar 12, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.