Slimy-Nondisclosure
0x92fc8772b3091e7c8d449e2ccfbc3df954ad1d78
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$544.67
Total PnL
$-17.5K
Realised
$-10.93
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
16659 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$356.50
$-643.50
- NO
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$151.52
$51.52
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
591 shares @ 8.5¢·now 6.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$36.66
$-13.34
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
94387 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.7K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
22629 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
9896 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-800.73
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
1250 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
437 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
334 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
258 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-92.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.