Trustworthy-Philosophy
0x93243f7761aa156afbcc76d92f6d1374b84109f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$57.43
Total PnL
$-12.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
11 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.11
$4.11
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
4 shares @ 80.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.71
$0.71
- YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.57
$2.57
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.78
$1.78
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.04
$0.04
- NO
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.54
$0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump cut off trade with Spain?$1.00Mar 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$1.00Mar 13, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$1.00Mar 8, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on March 9?$1.00Mar 8, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on March 9?$1.00Mar 8, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?$1.00Mar 8, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 9?$1.00Mar 8, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?$1.00Mar 8, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?$1.00Mar 8, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?$1.00Mar 4, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 4, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$1.00Mar 4, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?$1.00Mar 4, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.00Mar 4, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$1.00Mar 4, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.