Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Probability
78¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$5.88
Liquidity
$2.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 78¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1588.7h
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 79¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 79¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 79¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 79¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 79¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 79¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 80¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 80¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 80¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 79¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 81¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 73¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 71¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 71¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 72¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 73¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 73¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 73¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 73¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.html
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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