Reckless-Hacienda
0x9337cdc9c80d66d29836cf8f3100fa9707b04a6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
136
Open notional
$126.77
Total PnL
$-164.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
306 shares @ 3.3¢·now 10.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$31.98
$21.98
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
66 shares @ 15.1¢·now 19.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.95
$2.95
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 16.8¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
25 shares @ 19.9¢·now 14.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.54
$-1.46
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 5.6¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
27 shares @ 18.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.33
$-2.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 21?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.17
$-0.83
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.