Amusing-Tower
0x93401fc70a70e79b6c0d6e9628805e5cb5bef289
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$19.09
Total PnL
$-66.30
Realised
$-1.89
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$12.50
$11.50
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.55
$3.55
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.41
$-0.59
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 26?
2025 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 26?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMaduro exiled to Russia by March 31?$1.00Jan 3, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 2?$0.00Jan 3, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$0.00Jan 3, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 2?$1.22Jan 3, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jan 2, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Jan 2, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$1.00Jan 2, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 2?$1.00Jan 2, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$1.00Jan 2, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?$1.22Dec 13, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.43Dec 13, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?$2.38Dec 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?$1.00Dec 3, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?$1.00Dec 3, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?$1.00Dec 3, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 1?$1.00Dec 1, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".