Judicious-Map
0x93491ccd6be333ec78110b2311f068c5181e0486
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$560.49
Total PnL
$-2.98
Realised
$27.53
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
184 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$182.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
176 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$173.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
170 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$167.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
27 shares @ 22.1¢·now 24.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
31 shares @ 22.4¢·now 20.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
43 shares @ 13.9¢·now 10.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.40
$-1.60
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
81 shares @ 24.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.68
$-16.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
5 shares @ 22.9¢·now 58.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.20
$1.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.64
$1.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$1.07Jun 25, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$1.07Jun 25, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$3.19Jun 25, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$2.80Jun 25, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$2.18Jun 25, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$183.05Jun 25, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$168.08Jun 25, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$174.07Jun 25, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$160.80Jun 25, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$161.78Jun 25, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$178.77Jun 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$7.00Jun 25, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$15.82Jun 25, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$161.04Jun 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$162.06Jun 25, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$179.04Jun 25, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$168.77Jun 25, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$179.76Jun 25, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$154.80Jun 25, 07:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $143.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 16:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.