Jaded-Test
0x9352b91312d0dc6db8c9d21c30c4a3b3db9e6db9
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$3.1K
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
13746 shares @ 29.1¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.7K
$-1.3K
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
1222 shares @ 81.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$136.87
- NO
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
1111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$49.99
- NO
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
545 shares @ 91.8¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$510.53
$10.53
- NO
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
555 shares @ 90.1¢·now 80.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$446.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4773 shares @ 4.4¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$269.66
$59.66
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$119.64
$19.64
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
4871 shares @ 55.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2081 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-245.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1781 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-950.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.26Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$40.69Jul 16, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$149.64Jul 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$75.89Jul 16, 03:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $88.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.