Warped-Awe
0x93554d120828730934d8f0aca0ed4ddaafab10e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$417.05
Win rate
67%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
1929 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-305.73
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15?
545 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-23.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
530 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-124.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 14?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 11?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 12?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
321 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-206.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 6?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 13?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLibema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov$6.03Jun 8, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLibema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov$1.00Jun 8, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYModena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson$2.00Jun 8, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.48Jun 2, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5$0.73May 18, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5$0.40May 18, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5$0.50May 17, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5$0.50May 17, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5$1.00May 17, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5$1.00May 17, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5$1.00May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5$0.50May 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5$0.50May 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLevante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5$0.50May 17, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLevante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5$0.50May 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5$0.06May 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5$2.94May 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$0.92May 17, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5$10.00May 17, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5$1.00May 17, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 81 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
81 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.