0x9359590e61fe5aad18a9db71a81f173591188b15
0x9359590e61fe5aad18a9db71a81f173591188b15
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$158.64
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-49.54
Win rate
23%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
155 shares @ 16.1¢·now 32.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.85
$25.85
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
221 shares @ 11.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.19
$7.19
- UNDER
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
21 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$20.83
$5.83
- T1
First Blood in Game 1?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$15.38
$5.38
- UNDER
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$14.49
$4.49
- NO
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
99 shares @ 20.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$12.39
$-7.61
- YES
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
3610 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.61
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
3244 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner$5.13Jul 6, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner$5.14Jul 6, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Blood in Game 2?$5.76Jul 6, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?$15.13Jul 6, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Blood in Game 1?$10.10Jul 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?$10.09Jul 6, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$11.15Jul 6, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$20.39Jul 6, 02:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score$5.08Jul 5, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$20.00Jul 5, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$10.20Jul 5, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-01?$10.20Jul 5, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner$11.31Jul 5, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner$10.05Jul 5, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 3.5$3.79Jul 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner$16.46Jul 5, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner$10.13Jul 5, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$5.06Jul 5, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner$10.67Jul 5, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
23% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $10.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 07:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.