Political-Conclusion
0x936044a9c02ebebf6b017db6dfc053cf4bf203e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-120.39
Realised
$142.41
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 72.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.4K
$322.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1700 shares @ 74.3¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-64.49
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 86.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$864.50
$4.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
1686 shares @ 49.5¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$801.02
$-34.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$705.00
$205.00
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$175.00
$-25.00
- YES
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 84.8¢·now 85.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$16.83
$0.09
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
2700 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-179.99
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
1000 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-490.00
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by June 19, 2026?
25 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$16.74Jun 15, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3.47Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.32Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.32Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3.53Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$24.64Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.00Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.00Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.92Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$10.00Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.00Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$4.52Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.10Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$137.30Jun 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$419.48Jun 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$2.45Jun 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$2.45Jun 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$65.62Jun 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$2.50Jun 15, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$10.07Jun 15, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $129.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.