Real-Hardcover
0x938250de3c20eb4c5abdb3bd00f7663bb8f7a673
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$919.49
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$62.51
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2944 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$231.14
$-33.86
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13611 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$197.36
$-22.64
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
915 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$153.30
$3.30
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
924 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$148.32
$-3.24
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1147 shares @ 10.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$120.99
$-4.01
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.00
$10.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$20.12
$0.12
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
177 shares @ 11.3¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.08
$-2.92
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
337 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.18
$-8.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
1017 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$5.17Jun 13, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$5.18Jun 13, 04:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$14.29Jun 11, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$10.34Jun 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$10.31Jun 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$20.00Jun 11, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$10.35Jun 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$10.35Jun 11, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$10.34Jun 11, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$10.34Jun 11, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.34Jun 11, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$19.61Jun 11, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$19.61Jun 11, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$15.69Jun 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$7.24Jun 11, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$10.34Jun 11, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $9.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.