Acceptable-Arrival
0x938e4cb1ee24d52a064e976563b15cd2fb42d242
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$61.02
Realised
$19.54
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Solana reach $85 on May 4?
1000 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$995.00
$-4.00
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
615 shares @ 70.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$476.63
$45.39
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$375.40
$3.40
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
336 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$330.61
$2.63
- NO
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
259 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$205.77
$-1.31
- NO
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?
179 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$178.92
$12.19
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
637 shares @ 15.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$98.69
$-2.72
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "AI" or "Intelligence" this week?
81 shares @ 98.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$72.50
$-7.50
- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
90 shares @ 66.2¢·now 58.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.83
$-6.75
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
124 shares @ 14.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.94
$5.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $85 on May 4?$999.004m ago
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "China" this week?$204.996m ago
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Russia" this week?$225.997m ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$2.007m ago
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Court" this week?$69.9919m ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$7.0822m ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$44.1726m ago
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Iran" this week?$179.611h ago
- TRADESELLWill the NYT front-page headlines say "AI" or "Intelligence" this week?$29.701h ago
- REDEEMWill Emma Chamberlain be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$124.112h ago
- TRADESELLWill the NYT front-page headlines say "AI" or "Intelligence" this week?$247.502h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "China" this week?$49.513h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$11.123h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Court" this week?$69.323h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "China" this week?$4.663h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Russia" this week?$36.633h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "China" this week?$147.213h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "AI" or "Intelligence" this week?$166.773h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "AI" or "Intelligence" this week?$189.943h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Iran" this week?$152.883h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $87.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8h ago
- Last active
- 4m ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".