Elaborate-Playground
0x9391c018dfbc57c423f39e5ce3f11875e27c0d30
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-120.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
84 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the DC Crime Press Conference?
74 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
42 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.07
- NO
Will Trump name "Netanyahu" in April?
30 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
23 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.83
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk say "Crypto/Bitcoin/Doge" during the August 6 AMA?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?
17 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
17 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$8.40Apr 8, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?$0.00Apr 6, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?$0.00Apr 6, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?$0.00Apr 6, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump name "Netanyahu" in April?$2.13Apr 6, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump name "Netanyahu" in April?$0.40Apr 6, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 6, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?$7.00Apr 6, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?$0.96Apr 1, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?$2.40Apr 1, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$23.40Apr 1, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$0.00Apr 1, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$0.00Apr 1, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$0.00Apr 1, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?$3.07Oct 16, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$2.00Oct 16, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$5.00Oct 16, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$3.96Oct 10, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$3.72Oct 2, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$2.20Oct 2, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.