Ignorant-Match
0x93d590b26ee663d7dec0b3944a12bfe335840a45
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$376.10
Win rate
92%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16299 shares @ 14.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$265.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
6843 shares @ 16.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$923.79
$-232.21
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
15000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$435.00
$-364.98
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
306 shares @ 53.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$261.30
$99.32
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
4814 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$178.13
$57.57
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
9073 shares @ 4.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$176.91
$-213.26
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
20000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-600.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on December 24?
10141 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.25
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on December 23?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on December 25?
7501 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.84Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.64Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$14.37Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$600.00Jun 1, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$340.00Jun 1, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$120.56Jun 1, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$50.48Jun 1, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$53.48Jun 1, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$436.16Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$548.43Jun 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$629.45Jun 1, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$2.2KJun 1, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2.4KJun 1, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$0.75Jun 1, 04:19 UTC
- REWARD$1.45Jun 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 31, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.0KMay 31, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$291.76May 31, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.04May 31, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.06May 31, 05:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $463.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".