Lucky-Wiring
0x93d9f537708ccb6e701a4ebd495e29b95798639f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$510.55
Win rate
89%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
4521 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
2907 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-146.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?
2700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
2421 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
1235 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- NO
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
1059 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
750 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
735 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first?$1.03Jun 12, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?$0.59Jun 12, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET$3.16Jun 11, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$10.69Jun 11, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.07Jun 11, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$10.62Jun 11, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$15.75Jun 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$37.89Jun 11, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$15.76Jun 11, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$15.66Jun 11, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.07Jun 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.16Jun 11, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?$2.13Jun 11, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.07Jun 11, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$3.20Jun 11, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.80Jun 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.22Jun 11, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 11, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 11, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?$0.06Jun 11, 20:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
46 closed markets, 89% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 02:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 03:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.