Grim-Nightgown
0x93fb8874895ab2876c23d736d3a10a6e14fde392
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$761.97
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-10.72
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
696 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$696.00
$0.70
- YES
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
79 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.97
$-3.55
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 9PM ET
647 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-329.97
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?
604 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-138.92
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
317 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-196.54
- YES
Will Trump say "Anniversary" or "America250" this week? (January 18)
260 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-163.80
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
216 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-81.22
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
167 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-121.91
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
68 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- OVER
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5
63 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-32.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump name "Talarico" in April?$149.04Apr 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump name "Talarico" in April?$142.56Apr 24, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?$142.74Apr 21, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?$151.89Apr 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$8.00Apr 12, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$142.80Apr 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$75.68Apr 7, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$73.92Apr 7, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$69.52Apr 7, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$209.28Mar 31, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$256.12Mar 30, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?$267.05Mar 25, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?$282.31Mar 23, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$199.68Mar 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$32.76Mar 22, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$49.14Mar 22, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$192.92Mar 17, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$189.74Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran nuclear test before 2027?$227.92Mar 16, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIran nuclear test before 2027?$31.32Mar 16, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $147.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 03:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.