Insidious-Fava
0x9410c2e18658ec2e88d28df644dd33d6d1f23c5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.06
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-16.09
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 shares @ 8.5¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.06
$-0.10
- NO
Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?
602 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-126.42
- WARRIORS
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
348 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-153.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
263 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-201.31
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 9?
215 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-82.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?
208 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-66.64
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10?
203 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-61.04
- OVER
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
196 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-96.07
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 8?
195 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-55.94
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?
189 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-47.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$161.29Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.