Multicolored-Spiderling
0x943769e305a904e6c2a1ce0980543c8ff2c74692
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-2.6K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
7300 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-699.99
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?
1124 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?
1005 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
862 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
470 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-390.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Malaysia events on October 26?
278 shares @ 71.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-199.85
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
125 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-85.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
5 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
3 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$0.29Apr 11, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.62Apr 11, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$0.73Apr 11, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$0.93Apr 11, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.02Apr 11, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.05Apr 11, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.43Apr 11, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 9, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.2KApr 9, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.27Apr 3, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$1.00Apr 3, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 3, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?$1.00Apr 3, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$785.00Apr 3, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$1.00Apr 2, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 2, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 2, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 2, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 2, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $141.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.