Lonely-Jacket
0x944e0472b99926f4f712fc97dc0a846a8c5d8c94
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$138.6K
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50843 shares @ 74.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$49.8K
$11.9K
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
20518 shares @ 84.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.4K
$3.0K
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15500 shares @ 75.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.5K
$3.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
7888 shares @ 72.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.8K
$2.1K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
8888 shares @ 67.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.3K
$-717.67
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5000 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.0K
$905.00
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
5444 shares @ 59.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$1.5K
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5074 shares @ 67.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.4K
$991.58
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
4444 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.2K
$-66.65
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
3000 shares @ 82.3¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$492.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$2.2KJun 14, 02:33 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$13.03Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$844.36Jun 14, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.4KJun 14, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$822.14Jun 14, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$1.47Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$79.44Jun 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.92Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$93.34Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$48.08Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$5.00Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$12.50Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$4.81Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$75.27Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$9.62Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$48.08Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$9.62Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$10.00Jun 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$2.21Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $186.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.