Thoughtful-Vote
0x9453163afaa9bfb511ebdeb7fdde9bfc470a25b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$22.89
Total PnL
$-850.54
Realised
$74.56
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
5577 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$19.52
$-125.77
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.38
$-11.62
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
6000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
5700 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-236.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 16?
1341 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
840 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.48
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
440 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-57.24
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?
363 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-47.84
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?
326 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-149.92
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
300 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$30.41May 18, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$60.73May 18, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$24.00May 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$26.00May 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$25.00Apr 24, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$24.00Apr 23, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$93.68Apr 22, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$1.10Apr 21, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$16.90Apr 21, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$30.00Apr 19, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$20.30Apr 9, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$25.00Apr 9, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$10.00Apr 6, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 6, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.61Apr 1, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$4.20Mar 26, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$3.75Mar 26, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$5.40Mar 26, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$11.24Mar 26, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$15.00Mar 22, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 21:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 22:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".