Lovable-Woodchuck
0x945fc133e438528240f86c892914d0f8f60582f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$7.80
Total PnL
$-301.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.66
$-0.28
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 0.5¢·now 13.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.88
$0.85
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 0.5¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.46
$0.42
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 0.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.35
$0.31
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 0.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.34
$0.30
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.15
$0.12
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.15
$0.12
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.15
$0.11
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.14
$0.10
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.14
$0.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$50.00Apr 15, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$114.29Apr 10, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$186.02Apr 10, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$100.00Apr 8, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$50.00Apr 7, 19:54 UTC
- CONVERSIONDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028$1.16Apr 1, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00Mar 30, 01:16 UTC
- CONVERSIONDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028$5.43Mar 30, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00Mar 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00Mar 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$9.79Mar 30, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$10.00Mar 30, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$9.78Mar 30, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$10.00Mar 30, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.99Mar 30, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.00Mar 30, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.96Mar 30, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.00Mar 30, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$50.00Mar 4, 10:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $35.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.