Arid-Fly
0x94746ed6c69bdd5d5711b18d781d3978ef705091
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-259.36
Realised
$154.64
Win rate
67%
135 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026?
75 shares @ 10.7¢·now 42.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.22
$24.20
- YES
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
97 shares @ 22.6¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.10
$7.18
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
100 shares @ 27.1¢·now 26.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$26.70
$-0.43
- YES
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
76 shares @ 19.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$25.32
$10.49
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
76 shares @ 8.1¢·now 33.1¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$25.23
$19.04
- YES
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?
75 shares @ 12.3¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.25
$14.00
- YES
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
75 shares @ 26.7¢·now 29.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.24
$2.24
- YES
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
93 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.46
$-0.02
- YES
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
86 shares @ 17.7¢·now 24.2¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$20.81
$5.59
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
75 shares @ 12.2¢·now 26.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$19.76
$10.61
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti$0.40Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$1.42Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti$0.26Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.22Jun 13, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLCattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti$2.48Jun 13, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti$1.55Jun 13, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?$0.07Jun 13, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$0.32Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?$0.51Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.40Jun 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PARIVISION qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$1.25Jun 13, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$13.50Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$0.16Jun 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?$1.86Jun 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?$2.25Jun 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$1.10Jun 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$0.28Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOlympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos$0.35Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$0.27Jun 13, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 135 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.