Celebrated-Hobbit
0x94842a889e3eb5fab76b21e054642db12e272d23
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-154.64
Realised
$-18.55
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 12-18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
529 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
307 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
304 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
280 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's robot race video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.00May 15, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.44May 14, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$3.12May 14, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.04May 14, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Apr 12, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$0.45Apr 12, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Bucks$0.00Mar 29, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.97Mar 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Mar 28, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.00Mar 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Bucks$1.00Mar 28, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.90Mar 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.00Mar 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Mar 28, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.22Mar 28, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Mar 28, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?$3.00Mar 28, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 28, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?$3.00Mar 28, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$4.00Mar 18, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.