Frightening-Concept
0x94965548ae70f843cddd93fd5d1800fcf1bc2cc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.37
Total PnL
$-74.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
85 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$-0.94
- YES
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
559 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?
527 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?
354 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?
201 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$2.08Jun 5, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$1.05May 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?$1.07May 3, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?$2.13May 3, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.04May 3, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$1.04May 3, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Mar 24, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?$2.27Mar 24, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.46Mar 21, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.48Mar 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?$2.00Mar 19, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$2.91Mar 18, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.