Automatic-Alligator
0x949a5b5855195aad73582a791f9d67e3fa67721c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-368.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?
1302 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.60
- YES
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 30?
1079 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.79
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31?
1000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 17?
710 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-0.71
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
430 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-241.58
- YES
Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?
242 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.10
- YES
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?
162 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$1.78May 20, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?$1.80Mar 8, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$239.86Mar 7, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?$5.96Mar 7, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$245.82Jan 6, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$239.81Jan 3, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$239.81Jan 3, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$3.15Jan 3, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$538.72Jan 3, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$12.6KJan 3, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?$3.00Jan 1, 04:54 UTC
- REWARD$2.08Jan 1, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.89Dec 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 30?$10.79Dec 30, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$735.00Dec 30, 09:09 UTC
- REWARD$8.99Dec 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?$0.67Dec 29, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?$3.59Dec 29, 22:19 UTC
- REWARD$12.13Dec 29, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$14.07Dec 28, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $616.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 18:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.