Experienced-Hardcover
0x94b79c47f44b2a3396150c375353530d1bdfa77a
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$39.32
Total PnL
$-40.36
Realised
$49.19
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
38 shares @ 22.1¢·now 74.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$28.35
$19.94
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
229 shares @ 4.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.55
$-7.22
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
461 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.46
$-16.54
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
21 shares @ 27.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.79
$-3.91
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
52 shares @ 9.5¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.54
$-3.45
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
113 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.62
$-8.38
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
208 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.12Jul 11, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.75Jul 11, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.16Jul 11, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.97May 4, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$9.55May 4, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$10.11May 4, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$9.17May 3, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$9.58May 3, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$10.22May 3, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$8.88Apr 16, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$3.00Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$12.00Mar 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Mar 11, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Mar 11, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.80Mar 11, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$9.00Mar 8, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$12.00Mar 8, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Mar 8, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Mar 8, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.00Mar 8, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.