Nocturnal-Kimono
0x94beedf4315eea2817a7153186f2f84874262151
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$286.95
Total PnL
$-34.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 35.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.20
$30.20
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37 shares @ 53.4¢·now 66.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.00
$5.00
- YES
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.33
$13.33
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.00
$-1.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.28
$6.28
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.71
$-5.29
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
213 shares @ 4.7¢·now 5.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.22
$2.22
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 10.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.27
$10.27
- YES
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
476 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.71
$0.71
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$15.38Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?$0.00Jun 12, 08:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?$1.04Jun 10, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?$1.04Jun 10, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMTucker Carlson arrested by May 31?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMSentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.