0x94c68667b22ade393504412b05d7e9e49f8a48c7
0x94c68667b22ade393504412b05d7e9e49f8a48c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$6.81
Total PnL
$-0.81
Realised
$0.64
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$4.98
$2.09
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
1 shares @ 23.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.24
$0.94
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 3.4¢·now 13.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.15
$0.12
- YES
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.13
$-0.18
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.09
$0.04
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$-0.17
- YES
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.05
$-0.00
- YES
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.03
$-0.02
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.03
$-0.01
- YES
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.01
$-0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$2.89Feb 24, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.02Feb 24, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.30Feb 24, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02Feb 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02Feb 24, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.24Feb 24, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.75Feb 24, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.24Feb 24, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Feb 24, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$4.85Feb 23, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.16Feb 23, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 11:08 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.