French-Circumstance
0x94cc0666c42aa15cbf078aa1663b8c76aade36d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$154.27
Total PnL
$-107.42
Realised
$-4.02
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
64 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.28
$-0.17
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.05
$0.95
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.55
$2.52
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.72
$1.42
- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 51.4¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.72
$1.97
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.58
$0.17
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.47
$0.33
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.47
$1.66
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.42
$0.88
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.33
$0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$4.59Jun 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$4.62Jun 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$4.62Jun 15, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$11.51Jun 15, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$3.52Jun 15, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$4.53Jun 15, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$5.51Jun 15, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$5.76Jun 15, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$4.40Jun 15, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$4.36Jun 15, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$8.97Jun 15, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$3.85Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$4.50Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$3.40Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$3.99Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$4.17Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$6.28Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$11.58Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$4.57Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$5.79Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 02:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.