Selfish-Minion
0x94d4feeed43ad8b47ae0d29db252fff61e0965ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-10.4K
Realised
$-153.54
Win rate
31%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
18346 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.6K
$320.56
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1289 shares @ 35.5¢·now 61.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$786.04
$328.09
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1543 shares @ 45.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$624.97
$-69.44
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
355 shares @ 57.9¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$197.25
$-8.69
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1002 shares @ 16.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$135.31
$-32.79
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
89 shares @ 67.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.10
$18.64
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4370 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$17.48
$-133.71
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4378 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.94
$-115.59
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.50
$1.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.03Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $400.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.